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Red54
9968.7
1050628.0
Blue89
970414.9
237527.2
1025617.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions526602040801001201401605489

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+21
Endgame+23
Fouls+35
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave9
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +24
8Coral scored#13
28Coral points46
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#1
6Processor points12
4Net points4
10Algae points16
38Total teleop62
Reef
5L4#4
2L3#4
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +35
0Foul points12
54Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.00.5
28.328.8
Auto3.6
Teleop22.6
End1.8
red by 0.8
27.21.3
26.728.0
Auto5.5
Teleop20.7
End1.0
Second
996
#13
8.70.5
13.313.8
Auto3.7
Teleop2.3
End2.6
blue by 8.9
17.61.3
15.216.5
Auto4.4
Teleop12.2
End1.1
Third
6.20.8
5.26.0
Auto3.0
Teleop3.4
End-0.2
blue by 8.7
14.91.3
16.317.5
Auto3.6
Teleop10.4
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsEarned52%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed7%Barge oddsEarned