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Red120
248647.0
2486B15.7
240347.4
Blue90
116536.5
943259.6
80128.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11811970809010011013014015012090

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+20Teleop
+30Endgame
+30Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave6
5Coral scored#3
27Coral points17
33Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +10
11Coral scored#14
39Coral points51
3Processor algae#0
4Net algae#3
18Processor points0
16Net points12
34Algae points12
73Total teleop63
Reef
7L4#8
4L3#4
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#20
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +30
0Foul points0
120Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.40.6
45.045.6
Auto7.1
Teleop39.1
End1.2
blue by 12.2
59.60.8
63.562.7
Auto16.5
Teleop35.7
End7.4
Second
47.00.6
48.949.5
Auto15.1
Teleop25.5
End6.4
red by 10.5
1165
#11
36.50.8
34.233.4
Auto8.1
Teleop27.0
End1.3
Third
15.71.0
17.118.1
Auto4.3
Teleop9.0
End2.4
red by 7.8
8012
#14
8.00.8
4.33.5
Auto2.4
Teleop5.4
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsEarned52%Barge oddsMissed