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Red54
90918.7
77039.1
970414.9
Blue49
99993.4
498B19.7
9968.7
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3557020801001201405449

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
+3Teleop
+5Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousBlue +8
6Leave9
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points8
9Total auto17
TeleoperatedRed +11
6Coral scored#6
21Coral points20
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
6Processor points0
12Net points8
18Algae points8
39Total teleop28
Reef
3L4#2
2L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#10
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
0Foul points0
54Total score49

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.90.0
17.517.5
Auto3.6
Teleop10.4
End0.8
blue by 4.9
19.71.5
27.626.1
Auto6.6
Teleop10.3
End2.8
Second
9.10.0
7.07.0
Auto3.1
Teleop4.2
End1.8
red by 0.4
996
#13
8.70.9
13.812.9
Auto3.7
Teleop2.3
End2.6
Third
9091
#10
8.70.0
11.311.3
Auto2.5
Teleop5.2
End0.9
red by 5.3
9999
#16DQ
3.41.5
5.94.4
Auto4.4
Teleop0.1
End-1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsMissed89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
8%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsMissed