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Red124
240347.4
99993.4
80128.0
Blue135
1025617.6
943259.6
1050628.0
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions551300100150200124135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
+1Teleop
Endgame+11
Fouls+11
AutonomousBlue +9
3Leave6
4Coral scored#5
18Coral points24
21Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +10
16Coral scored#16
59Coral points59
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
18Processor points12
16Net points12
34Algae points24
93Total teleop83
Reef
7L4#8
6L3#5
5L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
27Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
6Foul points6
124Total score135

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.43.3
45.648.9
Auto7.1
Teleop39.1
End1.2
blue by 12.2
59.60.5
62.763.2
Auto16.5
Teleop35.7
End7.4
Second
8012
#14
8.03.3
3.56.8
Auto2.4
Teleop5.4
End0.2
blue by 20.0
28.00.5
28.829.3
Auto3.6
Teleop22.6
End1.8
Third
9999
#16DQ
3.45.1
4.49.5
Auto4.4
Teleop0.1
End-1.1
blue by 14.2
17.60.5
16.517.0
Auto4.4
Teleop12.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
7%Barge oddsMissed47%Barge oddsEarned