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Red41
1025617.6
9968.7
90918.7
Blue79
248647.0
99993.4
943259.6
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions341800501001502002503004179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+23
Teleop+40
Endgame+38
Fouls+38
AutonomousBlue +23
9Leave6
1Coral scored#6
3Coral points29
12Total auto35
TeleoperatedBlue +17
4Coral scored#8
13Coral points30
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
23Total teleop40
Reef
2L4#5
1L3#3
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
7Game pieces#16
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +38
0Foul points0
41Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.60.4
15.314.9
Auto4.4
Teleop12.2
End1.1
blue by 42.0
59.64.2
66.962.7
Auto16.5
Teleop35.7
End7.4
Second
996
#13
8.70.4
16.416.0
Auto3.7
Teleop2.3
End2.6
blue by 38.3
47.04.2
60.756.5
Auto15.1
Teleop25.5
End6.4
Third
9091
#10
8.70.4
14.714.3
Auto2.5
Teleop5.2
End0.9
red by 5.3
9999
#16DQ
3.47.0
14.27.2
Auto4.4
Teleop0.1
End-1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed87%Barge oddsMissed