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Red52
9968.7
80128.0
2486B15.7
Blue112
77039.1
240347.4
498B19.7
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50101015020052112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+42
Endgame+46
Fouls+60
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points12
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +39
8Coral scored#14
27Coral points52
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
41Total teleop80
Reef
4L4#6
2L3#5
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +60
0Foul points14
52Total score112

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.70.7
23.622.9
Auto4.3
Teleop9.0
End2.4
blue by 31.6
47.40.4
46.446.8
Auto7.1
Teleop39.1
End1.2
Second
996
#13Sur
8.70.4
16.015.6
Auto3.7
Teleop2.3
End2.6
blue by 11.1
19.70.7
28.128.7
Auto6.6
Teleop10.3
End2.8
Third
8012
#14
8.00.4
6.56.1
Auto2.4
Teleop5.4
End0.2
blue by 1.1
7703
#8Sur
9.10.4
7.07.4
Auto3.1
Teleop4.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsMissed60%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed