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Red98
1050628.0
116536.5
970414.9
Blue44
248647.0
237527.2
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions721100501001502009844

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
+50Teleop
+54Endgame
+54Fouls
AutonomousBlue +11
3Leave0
3Coral scored#5
13Coral points27
16Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +61
14Coral scored#3
52Coral points11
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
12Processor points0
12Net points4
24Algae points4
76Total teleop15
Reef
6L4#3
4L3#3
4L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#9
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +54
0Foul points0
98Total score44

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1165
#11
36.51.8
31.233.0
Auto8.1
Teleop27.0
End1.3
blue by 10.5
47.03.4
54.150.7
Auto15.1
Teleop25.5
End6.4
Second
28.01.8
25.527.3
Auto3.6
Teleop22.6
End1.8
red by 0.8
27.23.4
30.527.2
Auto5.5
Teleop20.7
End1.0
Third
14.91.8
14.115.9
Auto3.6
Teleop10.4
End0.8
red by 8.7
6.25.6
10.14.4
Auto3.0
Teleop3.4
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed43%Barge oddsMissed