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Red168
49859.5
240348.7
991B13.1
Blue22
998211.2
1050625.8
237532.2
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1458105010020025016822

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+106Teleop
+116Endgame
+146Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave6
1Coral scored#0
7Coral points0
16Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +96
20Coral scored#3
72Coral points12
2Processor algae#0
6Net algae#0
12Processor points0
24Net points0
36Algae points0
108Total teleop12
Reef
5L4#1
7L3#1
6L2#1
3L1 · trough#0
29Game pieces#3
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +146
30Foul points0
168Total score22

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498
#4
59.50.2
59.659.8
Auto10.7
Teleop42.0
End6.9
red by 27.3
32.21.3
33.332.0
Auto8.2
Teleop22.3
End1.8
Second
48.70.2
48.848.9
Auto7.8
Teleop37.6
End3.2
red by 22.9
25.81.3
26.925.6
Auto2.8
Teleop21.1
End1.9
Third
991B
#10
13.10.2
13.213.4
Auto1.1
Teleop11.0
End1.0
red by 1.9
11.21.7
12.710.9
Auto2.1
Teleop8.6
End0.4