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Red71
998211.2
1050625.8
237532.2
Blue52
498B24.1
99121.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100680501502007152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+21Teleop
+19Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
0Leave0
5Coral scored#2
23Coral points12
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +10
7Coral scored#6
26Coral points22
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#3
6Processor points0
12Net points12
18Algae points12
44Total teleop34
Reef
4L4#3
4L3#3
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +19
0Foul points0
71Total score52

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.20.0
33.333.3
Auto8.2
Teleop22.3
End1.8
red by 8.1
24.10.1
24.124.1
Auto5.5
Teleop16.8
End1.8
Second
25.80.0
26.926.9
Auto2.8
Teleop21.1
End1.9
red by 4.3
991
#11
21.50.1
21.621.5
Auto2.9
Teleop17.5
End1.1
Third
11.20.1
12.712.7
Auto2.1
Teleop8.6
End0.4
red by 1.8
9.50.1
9.59.5
Auto3.6
Teleop5.5
End0.4