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Red78
909111.4
99613.9
770313.8
Blue92
498B24.1
99121.5
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions528001001507892

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+10
Endgame+8
Fouls+14
Autonomouslevel
3Leave3
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points9
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +10
12Coral scored#14
44Coral points52
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
12Processor points6
4Net points12
16Algae points18
60Total teleop70
Reef
7L4#5
2L3#3
2L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
17Game pieces#20
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +14
0Foul points6
78Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
996
#6
13.90.5
13.413.9
Auto3.3
Teleop7.6
End3.0
blue by 10.2
24.10.3
23.924.1
Auto5.5
Teleop16.8
End1.8
Second
13.80.5
13.413.8
Auto3.1
Teleop8.6
End2.2
blue by 7.7
991
#11
21.50.3
21.321.6
Auto2.9
Teleop17.5
End1.1
Third
9091
#12
11.40.5
11.011.4
Auto2.7
Teleop8.3
End0.4
red by 2.0
9.50.3
9.39.5
Auto3.6
Teleop5.5
End0.4