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Red147
49859.5
240348.7
991B13.1
Blue92
237532.2
1050625.8
998211.2
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1448205010020025014792

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+39Teleop
+53Endgame
+55Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave9
3Coral scored#0
13Coral points0
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +32
24Coral scored#16
85Coral points57
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
12Processor points12
16Net points12
28Algae points24
113Total teleop81
Reef
12L4#4
8L3#5
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
33Game pieces#21
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +55
2Foul points0
147Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498
#4
59.50.3
59.359.6
Auto10.7
Teleop42.0
End6.9
red by 27.3
32.20.3
33.133.3
Auto8.2
Teleop22.3
End1.8
Second
48.70.3
48.448.8
Auto7.8
Teleop37.6
End3.2
red by 22.9
25.80.3
26.726.9
Auto2.8
Teleop21.1
End1.9
Third
991B
#10
13.10.5
12.813.2
Auto1.1
Teleop11.0
End1.0
red by 1.9
11.20.4
12.412.7
Auto2.1
Teleop8.6
End0.4