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Red69
237532.2
1050625.8
998211.2
Blue45
498B24.1
99121.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101690501502006945

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+18Teleop
+24Endgame
+24Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +15
10Coral scored#7
37Coral points24
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#3
6Processor points0
8Net points12
14Algae points12
51Total teleop36
Reef
5L4#2
2L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#11
BargeRed +6
6Cage & park0
6Total endgame0
Penalties & totalRed +24
0Foul points0
69Total score45

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.20.2
33.333.1
Auto8.2
Teleop22.3
End1.8
red by 8.1
24.10.4
24.223.9
Auto5.5
Teleop16.8
End1.8
Second
25.80.2
26.926.7
Auto2.8
Teleop21.1
End1.9
red by 4.3
991
#11
21.50.4
21.721.3
Auto2.9
Teleop17.5
End1.1
Third
11.20.3
12.712.4
Auto2.1
Teleop8.6
End0.4
red by 1.8
9.50.4
9.69.3
Auto3.6
Teleop5.5
End0.4