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Red157
49859.5
240348.7
991B13.1
Blue80
909111.4
99613.9
770313.8
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1563305010020025015780

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+73Teleop
+83Endgame
+77Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave6
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points3
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +66
25Coral scored#12
91Coral points43
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
12Processor points6
16Net points4
28Algae points10
119Total teleop53
Reef
9L4#5
8L3#4
5L2#3
6L1 · trough#1
34Game pieces#15
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +77
6Foul points12
157Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498
#4
59.50.3
59.059.3
Auto10.7
Teleop42.0
End6.9
red by 45.7
996
#6
13.90.3
13.213.4
Auto3.3
Teleop7.6
End3.0
Second
48.70.3
48.148.4
Auto7.8
Teleop37.6
End3.2
red by 34.8
13.80.3
13.113.4
Auto3.1
Teleop8.6
End2.2
Third
991B
#10
13.10.3
12.412.8
Auto1.1
Teleop11.0
End1.0
red by 1.7
9091
#12
11.40.3
10.711.0
Auto2.7
Teleop8.3
End0.4