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Red84
1050625.8
49859.5
Blue65
770313.8
909111.4
99121.5
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1454301002002508465

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+13Teleop
+13Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
0Leave9
4Coral scored#0
20Coral points0
20Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +2
11Coral scored#10
40Coral points36
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
0Processor points6
12Net points8
12Algae points14
52Total teleop50
Reef
6L4#3
4L3#4
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#13
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
6Foul points0
84Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498
#4
59.53.3
72.168.8
Auto10.7
Teleop42.0
End6.9
red by 38.0
991
#11
21.50.1
21.721.8
Auto2.9
Teleop17.5
End1.1
Second
25.83.3
28.024.8
Auto2.8
Teleop21.1
End1.9
red by 12.0
13.80.1
9.19.2
Auto3.1
Teleop8.6
End2.2
Third
9.54.4
6.21.8
Auto3.6
Teleop5.5
End0.4
blue by 2.0
9091
#12
11.40.1
8.78.8
Auto2.7
Teleop8.3
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsMissed37%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
19%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsEarned10%Barge oddsMissed