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Red11
991B13.1
998211.2
Blue34
1050625.8
770313.8
498B24.1
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34720501001501134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+19
Endgame+23
Fouls+23
AutonomousBlue +6
0Leave9
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
3Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +13
2Coral scored#3
6Coral points11
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#2
0Processor points0
0Net points8
0Algae points8
6Total teleop19
Reef
1L4#1
1L3#1
0L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
3Game pieces#5
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
0Foul points0
11Total score34

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
991B
#10
13.11.3
11.09.7
Auto1.1
Teleop11.0
End1.0
blue by 12.7
25.81.3
24.823.4
Auto2.8
Teleop21.1
End1.9
Second
11.21.3
9.78.4
Auto2.1
Teleop8.6
End0.4
blue by 12.8
24.11.6
20.218.6
Auto5.5
Teleop16.8
End1.8
Third
9.50.9
1.80.9
Auto3.6
Teleop5.5
End0.4
blue by 4.4
13.81.3
9.27.8
Auto3.1
Teleop8.6
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
24%Auto oddsMissed48%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed15%Barge oddsMissed