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Red129
49859.5
240348.7
237532.2
Blue48
99121.5
99613.9
909111.4
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18538010015020025030012948

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+63Teleop
+73Endgame
+81Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
6Leave3
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points3
26Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +43
14Coral scored#6
51Coral points22
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
12Processor points6
12Net points4
24Algae points10
75Total teleop32
Reef
4L4#3
7L3#2
3L2#1
4L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#9
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +81
14Foul points6
129Total score48

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498
#4
59.53.0
68.865.8
Auto10.7
Teleop42.0
End6.9
red by 38.0
991
#11
21.51.0
21.820.8
Auto2.9
Teleop17.5
End1.1
Second
48.73.0
47.844.8
Auto7.8
Teleop37.6
End3.2
red by 34.8
996
#6
13.91.0
8.77.8
Auto3.3
Teleop7.6
End3.0
Third
32.23.0
27.324.3
Auto8.2
Teleop22.3
End1.8
red by 20.8
9091
#12
11.41.0
8.87.8
Auto2.7
Teleop8.3
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
25%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsEarned11%Barge oddsMissed