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Red69
49859.5
99613.9
99121.5
Blue75
991B13.1
498B24.1
770313.8
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1364201001502006975

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+2Teleop
+2Endgame
Fouls+6
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave3
1Coral scored#1
4Coral points3
13Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +5
10Coral scored#11
36Coral points39
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
12Processor points6
4Net points12
16Algae points18
52Total teleop57
Reef
5L4#3
2L3#4
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#16
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
0Foul points8
69Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498
#4
59.52.4
65.863.3
Auto10.7
Teleop42.0
End6.9
red by 35.5
24.11.5
18.620.1
Auto5.5
Teleop16.8
End1.8
Second
991
#11
21.52.4
20.818.4
Auto2.9
Teleop17.5
End1.1
red by 7.7
13.81.3
7.89.2
Auto3.1
Teleop8.6
End2.2
Third
996
#6
13.92.4
7.85.3
Auto3.3
Teleop7.6
End3.0
red by 0.8
991B
#10
13.12.2
9.711.9
Auto1.1
Teleop11.0
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsMissed32%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsMissed11%Barge oddsEarned