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Red109
99121.5
498B24.1
237532.2
Blue92
1050625.8
909111.4
991B13.1
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions906205010015020010992

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+17Teleop
+17Endgame
+17Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave3
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points6
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +10
21Coral scored#16
75Coral points59
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
89Total teleop79
Reef
8L4#5
7L3#6
5L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#21
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +17
0Foul points0
109Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.21.5
25.827.4
Auto8.2
Teleop22.3
End1.8
red by 6.4
25.81.6
23.825.4
Auto2.8
Teleop21.1
End1.9
Second
24.11.5
20.121.6
Auto5.5
Teleop16.8
End1.8
red by 11.0
991B
#10
13.12.6
11.914.5
Auto1.1
Teleop11.0
End1.0
Third
991
#11
21.51.5
18.419.9
Auto2.9
Teleop17.5
End1.1
red by 10.1
9091
#12
11.41.6
9.310.9
Auto2.7
Teleop8.3
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsMissed34%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed