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Red59
998211.2
770313.8
49859.5
Blue90
240348.7
99613.9
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1075101502005990

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+23
Endgame+31
Fouls+31
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave6
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points7
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +19
10Coral scored#11
36Coral points41
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
0Processor points6
8Net points16
8Algae points22
44Total teleop63
Reef
4L4#4
3L3#3
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +31
0Foul points0
59Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498
#4
59.51.5
63.361.8
Auto10.7
Teleop42.0
End6.9
red by 10.9
48.72.5
45.147.6
Auto7.8
Teleop37.6
End3.2
Second
13.81.5
9.27.6
Auto3.1
Teleop8.6
End2.2
Level
996
#6
13.92.5
5.37.8
Auto3.3
Teleop7.6
End3.0
Third
11.22.5
9.06.5
Auto2.1
Teleop8.6
End0.4
red by 1.8
9.52.5
2.65.0
Auto3.6
Teleop5.5
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsMissed79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
61%Barge oddsMissed10%Barge oddsEarned