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Red152
2486B12.2
49867.0
240351.0
Blue112
248640.6
237538.6
909111.9
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15210050200250152112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
+32Teleop
+46Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousBlue +17
6Leave3
1Coral scored#5
7Coral points27
13Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +49
23Coral scored#14
83Coral points52
4Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
24Processor points6
16Net points16
40Algae points22
123Total teleop74
Reef
7L4#7
8L3#6
6L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
32Game pieces#24
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +40
0Foul points6
152Total score112

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498
#1
67.00.3
66.767.0
Auto12.4
Teleop46.1
End8.6
red by 26.4
40.60.1
40.440.6
Auto13.8
Teleop22.6
End4.1
Second
51.00.3
50.751.0
Auto8.4
Teleop37.4
End5.3
red by 12.4
38.60.1
38.538.6
Auto10.7
Teleop26.2
End1.7
Third
12.20.3
11.912.2
Auto3.0
Teleop7.7
End1.5
red by 0.3
9091
#13
11.90.1
11.811.9
Auto1.9
Teleop10.1
End-0.0