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Red138
2486B12.2
49867.0
240351.0
Blue103
909111.9
237538.6
248640.6
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15310050200250138103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+33Teleop
+35Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
3Leave6
5Coral scored#2
24Coral points10
27Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +22
22Coral scored#14
79Coral points51
3Processor algae#2
2Net algae#5
18Processor points12
8Net points20
26Algae points32
105Total teleop83
Reef
11L4#5
6L3#4
7L2#3
3L1 · trough#4
32Game pieces#23
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +35
0Foul points0
138Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498
#1
67.00.1
66.566.7
Auto12.4
Teleop46.1
End8.6
red by 26.4
40.60.2
40.240.4
Auto13.8
Teleop22.6
End4.1
Second
51.00.1
50.650.7
Auto8.4
Teleop37.4
End5.3
red by 12.4
38.60.2
38.238.5
Auto10.7
Teleop26.2
End1.7
Third
12.20.1
11.711.9
Auto3.0
Teleop7.7
End1.5
red by 0.3
9091
#13
11.90.2
11.611.8
Auto1.9
Teleop10.1
End-0.0