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Red131
418328.7
970412.0
49867.0
Blue77
909111.9
775510.0
498B29.1
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12645010015020025013177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+44Teleop
+54Endgame
+54Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
3Leave9
3Coral scored#0
17Coral points0
20Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +33
21Coral scored#10
77Coral points36
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
12Processor points12
8Net points16
20Algae points28
97Total teleop64
Reef
10L4#4
6L3#3
4L2#1
4L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#16
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +54
0Foul points0
131Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498
#1
67.00.6
59.560.1
Auto12.4
Teleop46.1
End8.6
red by 37.9
498B
#14
29.10.6
24.124.7
Auto5.3
Teleop22.0
End1.8
Second
28.70.6
27.127.7
Auto2.9
Teleop24.3
End1.5
red by 16.8
9091
#13
11.90.6
11.412.0
Auto1.9
Teleop10.1
End-0.0
Third
12.00.6
14.915.4
Auto3.4
Teleop8.0
End0.6
red by 2.0
10.00.6
9.510.0
Auto4.2
Teleop3.0
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsMissed35%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
17%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsEarned7%Barge oddsMissed