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Red99
240351.0
237538.6
Blue21
2486B12.2
99612.8
1050625.8
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1045301502009921

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+64Teleop
+72Endgame
+78Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
3Leave6
5Coral scored#1
24Coral points3
27Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +46
9Coral scored#2
34Coral points6
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#0
6Processor points0
12Net points0
18Algae points0
52Total teleop6
Reef
6L4#1
3L3#1
4L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
18Game pieces#3
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +78
6Foul points0
99Total score21

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.00.2
48.748.8
Auto8.4
Teleop37.4
End5.3
red by 25.2
25.82.3
25.823.5
Auto2.9
Teleop22.1
End0.9
Second
38.60.2
32.232.4
Auto10.7
Teleop26.2
End1.7
red by 25.8
996
#11
12.82.3
13.911.6
Auto3.8
Teleop5.9
End3.1
Third
9.00.2
9.59.6
Auto4.0
Teleop3.6
End1.3
blue by 3.2
12.23.1
15.712.7
Auto3.0
Teleop7.7
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsMissed34%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsMissed