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Red102
49867.0
101112.6
Blue47
248640.6
498B29.1
2486B12.2
42%Model gave it58%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions909705015010247

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+35Teleop
+47Endgame
+55Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave3
2Coral scored#2
11Coral points10
20Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +28
11Coral scored#7
40Coral points24
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
12Processor points0
8Net points8
20Algae points8
60Total teleop32
Reef
5L4#2
4L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#11
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +55
8Foul points0
102Total score47

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498
#1
67.01.0
60.161.1
Auto12.4
Teleop46.1
End8.6
red by 26.4
40.62.5
47.044.5
Auto13.8
Teleop22.6
End4.1
Second
12.61.1
9.610.7
Auto2.0
Teleop9.0
End1.7
blue by 16.5
498B
#14
29.12.5
24.722.2
Auto5.3
Teleop22.0
End1.8
Third
9.01.0
9.610.6
Auto4.0
Teleop3.6
End1.3
blue by 3.2
12.23.0
12.79.6
Auto3.0
Teleop7.7
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsEarned40%Barge oddsMissed