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Red105
418328.7
248640.6
237538.6
Blue58
99612.8
909111.9
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1272205010015020010558

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+49Teleop
+47Endgame
+47Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
3Leave6
7Coral scored#1
34Coral points6
37Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +24
9Coral scored#8
34Coral points28
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
12Processor points6
20Net points8
32Algae points14
66Total teleop42
Reef
6L4#4
4L3#2
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +47
0Foul points0
105Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.60.7
40.840.1
Auto13.8
Teleop22.6
End4.1
red by 27.7
996
#11
12.80.7
10.511.2
Auto3.8
Teleop5.9
End3.1
Second
38.60.7
33.232.5
Auto10.7
Teleop26.2
End1.7
red by 26.7
9091
#13
11.90.7
10.110.8
Auto1.9
Teleop10.1
End-0.0
Third
28.70.7
25.825.2
Auto2.9
Teleop24.3
End1.5
red by 19.8
9.00.7
9.910.6
Auto4.0
Teleop3.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsEarned2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
61%Barge oddsMissed6%Barge oddsMissed