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Red86
970412.0
498B29.1
237538.6
Blue103
240351.0
1050625.8
775510.0
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions759205015020086103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+7
Endgame+7
Fouls+17
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave6
2Coral scored#2
11Coral points10
20Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +11
12Coral scored#14
42Coral points51
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
6Processor points12
12Net points8
18Algae points20
60Total teleop71
Reef
5L4#4
5L3#6
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#20
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +17
2Foul points12
86Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.61.1
32.533.6
Auto10.7
Teleop26.2
End1.7
blue by 12.4
51.00.6
48.849.4
Auto8.4
Teleop37.4
End5.3
Second
498B
#14
29.11.1
20.421.5
Auto5.3
Teleop22.0
End1.8
red by 3.3
25.80.6
22.923.5
Auto2.9
Teleop22.1
End0.9
Third
12.01.1
14.715.8
Auto3.4
Teleop8.0
End0.6
red by 2.0
10.00.6
9.910.5
Auto4.2
Teleop3.0
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned49%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsMissed