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Red67
99612.8
498B29.1
101112.6
Blue127
970412.0
240351.0
248640.6
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3812305010015020067127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+52
Endgame+48
Fouls+60
AutonomousBlue +18
9Leave3
0Coral scored#5
0Coral points24
9Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +34
9Coral scored#16
32Coral points56
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
6Processor points12
8Net points12
14Algae points24
46Total teleop80
Reef
2L4#8
3L3#6
3L2#5
1L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#26
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +60
6Foul points18
67Total score127

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498B
#14
29.10.6
21.522.1
Auto5.3
Teleop22.0
End1.8
blue by 21.9
51.00.3
49.449.1
Auto8.4
Teleop37.4
End5.3
Second
996
#11
12.80.6
11.211.8
Auto3.8
Teleop5.9
End3.1
blue by 27.7
40.60.3
40.139.9
Auto13.8
Teleop22.6
End4.1
Third
12.60.7
9.610.3
Auto2.0
Teleop9.0
End1.7
red by 0.6
12.00.3
15.815.5
Auto3.4
Teleop8.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsMissed89%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed46%Barge oddsMissed