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Red141
1050625.8
909111.9
49867.0
Blue67
2486B12.2
418328.7
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12050010015020014167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+54Teleop
+54Endgame
+74Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave6
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points3
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +47
19Coral scored#9
67Coral points32
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#2
12Processor points12
20Net points8
32Algae points20
99Total teleop52
Reef
8L4#4
8L3#3
2L2#1
4L1 · trough#2
29Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +74
20Foul points0
141Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498
#1
67.00.5
61.562.0
Auto12.4
Teleop46.1
End8.6
red by 38.3
28.70.2
25.225.4
Auto2.9
Teleop24.3
End1.5
Second
25.80.5
23.524.0
Auto2.9
Teleop22.1
End0.9
red by 13.6
12.20.2
11.211.4
Auto3.0
Teleop7.7
End1.5
Third
9091
#13
11.90.5
10.811.4
Auto1.9
Teleop10.1
End-0.0
red by 3.0
9.00.2
10.610.8
Auto4.0
Teleop3.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned26%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsEarned11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsEarned19%Barge oddsMissed