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Red131
498B29.1
237538.6
1050625.8
Blue115
248640.6
909111.9
418328.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions969560708090100110120130131115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+14Teleop
+14Endgame
+16Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave9
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points17
26Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +14
19Coral scored#14
67Coral points49
2Processor algae#4
5Net algae#3
12Processor points24
20Net points12
32Algae points36
99Total teleop85
Reef
8L4#5
7L3#5
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#4
30Game pieces#24
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +16
2Foul points0
131Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.62.9
33.636.5
Auto10.7
Teleop26.2
End1.7
blue by 2.0
40.62.2
39.942.0
Auto13.8
Teleop22.6
End4.1
Second
498B
#14
29.12.9
22.125.1
Auto5.3
Teleop22.0
End1.8
red by 0.4
28.72.2
25.427.6
Auto2.9
Teleop24.3
End1.5
Third
25.82.9
24.027.0
Auto2.9
Teleop22.1
End0.9
red by 13.9
9091
#13
11.92.2
11.413.5
Auto1.9
Teleop10.1
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsMissed