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Red101
237538.6
2486B12.2
101112.6
Blue90
240351.0
970412.0
909111.9
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions709505015010190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+45Teleop
+35Endgame
+11Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave3
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points10
16Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +42
16Coral scored#8
57Coral points29
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
12Processor points6
12Net points4
24Algae points10
81Total teleop39
Reef
7L4#4
4L3#3
5L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +11
0Foul points24
101Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.61.6
36.538.1
Auto10.7
Teleop26.2
End1.7
blue by 12.4
51.02.1
49.147.0
Auto8.4
Teleop37.4
End5.3
Second
12.61.6
9.911.5
Auto2.0
Teleop9.0
End1.7
red by 0.6
12.02.1
15.213.1
Auto3.4
Teleop8.0
End0.6
Third
12.21.6
11.413.0
Auto3.0
Teleop7.7
End1.5
red by 0.3
9091
#13
11.92.1
13.511.4
Auto1.9
Teleop10.1
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsEarned57%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed12%Barge oddsEarned