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Red179
498B29.1
49867.0
240351.0
Blue74
1050625.8
418328.7
99612.8
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1646505010015020025017974

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+89Teleop
+111Endgame
+105Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
6Leave3
5Coral scored#2
24Coral points9
30Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +71
26Coral scored#9
93Coral points32
3Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
18Processor points12
12Net points8
30Algae points20
123Total teleop52
Reef
10L4#5
10L3#3
7L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
37Game pieces#15
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +105
0Foul points6
179Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498
#1
67.02.9
63.065.9
Auto12.4
Teleop46.1
End8.6
red by 38.3
28.70.0
27.627.6
Auto2.9
Teleop24.3
End1.5
Second
51.02.9
47.050.0
Auto8.4
Teleop37.4
End5.3
red by 25.2
25.80.0
27.027.0
Auto2.9
Teleop22.1
End0.9
Third
498B
#14
29.12.9
25.128.0
Auto5.3
Teleop22.0
End1.8
red by 16.3
996
#11
12.80.0
12.812.8
Auto3.8
Teleop5.9
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned42%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
29%Coral oddsEarned10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
76%Barge oddsEarned28%Barge oddsMissed