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Red10
2486B12.2
775510.0
970412.0
Blue56
248640.6
1050625.8
10%Model gave it90%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37980501502001056

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+38
Endgame+40
Fouls+46
AutonomousBlue +6
6Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points12
6Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +32
0Coral scored#8
0Coral points28
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
0Processor points0
0Net points4
0Algae points4
0Total teleop32
Reef
0L4#3
0L3#3
0L2#2
0L1 · trough#2
0Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +46
0Foul points6
10Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
12.21.8
13.011.1
Auto3.0
Teleop7.7
End1.5
blue by 28.4
40.62.0
42.040.1
Auto13.8
Teleop22.6
End4.1
Second
12.01.8
13.111.3
Auto3.4
Teleop8.0
End0.6
blue by 13.8
25.82.0
27.025.0
Auto2.9
Teleop22.1
End0.9
Third
10.01.8
11.59.7
Auto4.2
Teleop3.0
End2.8
red by 1.1
9.02.0
10.58.5
Auto4.0
Teleop3.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
18%Auto oddsMissed78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsMissed