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Red106
99612.8
248640.6
240351.0
Blue46
775510.0
418328.7
498B29.1
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1206005010015020010646

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+32Teleop
+40Endgame
+60Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
6Leave0
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points9
26Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +15
9Coral scored#5
34Coral points19
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
44Total teleop29
Reef
6L4#2
3L3#3
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#9
BargeRed +8
16Cage & park8
16Total endgame8
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +60
20Foul points0
106Total score46

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.01.0
48.847.8
Auto8.4
Teleop37.4
End5.3
red by 21.9
498B
#14
29.10.9
22.221.2
Auto5.3
Teleop22.0
End1.8
Second
40.61.0
42.041.0
Auto13.8
Teleop22.6
End4.1
red by 11.8
28.70.9
27.626.7
Auto2.9
Teleop24.3
End1.5
Third
996
#11
12.81.0
10.79.7
Auto3.8
Teleop5.9
End3.1
red by 2.8
10.00.9
10.29.2
Auto4.2
Teleop3.0
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned20%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
58%Barge oddsEarned22%Barge oddsMissed