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Red111
775510.0
49867.0
248640.6
Blue84
2486B12.2
240351.0
909111.9
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1426905010020011184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+13Teleop
+27Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
3Leave6
5Coral scored#1
27Coral points7
30Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +4
8Coral scored#12
29Coral points43
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#4
12Processor points6
20Net points16
32Algae points22
61Total teleop65
Reef
7L4#5
2L3#4
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#18
BargeRed +14
20Cage & park6
20Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +27
0Foul points0
111Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498
#1
67.00.2
60.660.5
Auto12.4
Teleop46.1
End8.6
red by 16.0
51.01.0
47.848.8
Auto8.4
Teleop37.4
End5.3
Second
40.60.2
41.040.8
Auto13.8
Teleop22.6
End4.1
red by 28.4
12.21.0
9.110.1
Auto3.0
Teleop7.7
End1.5
Third
10.00.2
9.29.1
Auto4.2
Teleop3.0
End2.8
blue by 1.9
9091
#13
11.91.0
9.110.1
Auto1.9
Teleop10.1
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
21%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
69%Barge oddsEarned17%Barge oddsMissed