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Red60
101112.6
1050625.8
970412.0
Blue57
418328.7
498B29.1
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4164020801001201406057

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+9Teleop
+9Endgame
+3Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave6
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points6
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +12
11Coral scored#9
39Coral points31
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#0
6Processor points6
4Net points0
10Algae points6
49Total teleop37
Reef
3L4#3
4L3#3
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#11
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
0Foul points6
60Total score57

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.80.6
22.222.9
Auto2.9
Teleop22.1
End0.9
blue by 3.3
498B
#14
29.10.9
21.220.4
Auto5.3
Teleop22.0
End1.8
Second
12.60.6
8.28.8
Auto2.0
Teleop9.0
End1.7
blue by 16.1
28.70.9
26.725.8
Auto2.9
Teleop24.3
End1.5
Third
12.00.6
14.114.7
Auto3.4
Teleop8.0
End0.6
red by 3.1
9.00.9
10.79.9
Auto4.0
Teleop3.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsMissed26%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsMissed