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Red69
970410.7
247839.4
1025612.6
Blue39
9059B11.0
1050624.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions714801001502002506939

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+18Teleop
+18Endgame
+30Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
6Leave3
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
9Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +12
10Coral scored#7
36Coral points24
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
0Processor points0
8Net points8
8Algae points8
44Total teleop32
Reef
2L4#3
5L3#2
3L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#9
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +30
12Foul points0
69Total score39

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.40.3
35.835.5
Auto6.3
Teleop31.0
End2.0
red by 14.5
24.90.5
25.925.3
Auto2.2
Teleop21.4
End1.3
Second
12.60.3
14.314.0
Auto3.0
Teleop7.5
End2.1
red by 1.5
11.00.9
8.87.9
Auto4.1
Teleop5.7
End1.2
Third
9704
#15
10.70.3
11.311.1
Auto1.7
Teleop8.3
End0.7
red by 5.4
5.30.9
12.211.4
Auto1.7
Teleop1.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsMissed38%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsEarned24%Barge oddsMissed