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Red55
237541.6
2486B10.4
Blue69
418327.8
394418.3
414630.4
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions559102040801001201401605569

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
Teleop+12
Endgame+14
Fouls+14
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave3
5Coral scored#1
23Coral points6
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +26
5Coral scored#12
18Coral points44
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
28Total teleop54
Reef
3L4#5
3L3#4
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +14
0Foul points0
55Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.60.0
36.937.0
Auto11.1
Teleop29.4
End1.0
red by 11.1
4146
#16
30.40.7
31.831.1
Auto4.0
Teleop24.2
End2.2
Second
10.40.0
12.312.3
Auto3.4
Teleop5.4
End1.6
blue by 17.4
4183
#11
27.80.7
28.327.6
Auto2.6
Teleop22.9
End2.2
Third
7.50.0
5.45.4
Auto3.2
Teleop1.9
End2.4
blue by 10.8
3944
#12
18.30.7
20.019.2
Auto4.4
Teleop12.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsEarned71%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed15%Barge oddsMissed