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Red111
240356.8
6987.2
116542.6
Blue108
498C38.6
635229.3
647927.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10510360708090110120130140111108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+13Teleop
+1Endgame
+3Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
6Leave9
5Coral scored#1
24Coral points4
30Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +4
12Coral scored#17
43Coral points61
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
12Processor points6
20Net points12
32Algae points18
75Total teleop79
Reef
5L4#8
6L3#5
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
2Foul points0
111Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.80.5
50.350.9
Auto9.8
Teleop40.4
End6.7
red by 18.2
38.61.3
30.331.7
Auto3.2
Teleop32.1
End3.3
Second
42.60.5
36.637.1
Auto9.9
Teleop32.2
End0.5
red by 13.3
6352
#10
29.30.8
33.334.1
Auto6.3
Teleop15.3
End7.7
Third
698
#30
7.20.5
14.214.7
Auto2.8
Teleop4.1
End0.2
blue by 20.2
6479
#19
27.40.8
32.333.1
Auto4.2
Teleop21.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsMissed75%Barge oddsEarned