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Red62
248631.8
90917.7
991B8.8
Blue38
38538.8
99114.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92670501506238

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+20Teleop
+18Endgame
+24Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave0
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +17
9Coral scored#5
33Coral points18
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
6Processor points0
4Net points8
10Algae points8
43Total teleop26
Reef
3L4#2
4L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +24
6Foul points0
62Total score38

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2486
#18
31.81.4
39.037.6
Auto10.3
Teleop18.7
End2.7
red by 17.7
991
#32
14.11.5
21.119.6
Auto2.1
Teleop10.9
End1.1
Second
991B
#22
8.81.7
13.211.5
Auto1.1
Teleop6.7
End1.0
Level
3853
#21
8.81.5
12.611.1
Auto2.6
Teleop3.7
End2.4
Third
9091
#29
7.71.4
10.59.1
Auto1.7
Teleop5.8
End0.2
blue by 0.8
8.52.4
12.09.6
Auto1.3
Teleop4.8
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsMissed10%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsMissed