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Red74
394418.3
498C38.6
498B24.4
Blue33
45656.4
418327.8
248631.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions868040601001201407433

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+41Teleop
+41Endgame
+41Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
6Leave6
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
12Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +35
11Coral scored#5
38Coral points19
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
12Processor points0
8Net points4
20Algae points4
58Total teleop23
Reef
4L4#2
2L3#1
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#6
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +41
0Foul points0
74Total score33

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.60.6
31.731.1
Auto3.2
Teleop32.1
End3.3
red by 6.8
2486
#18
31.82.8
37.634.8
Auto10.3
Teleop18.7
End2.7
Second
24.40.4
28.528.1
Auto4.4
Teleop19.4
End0.6
blue by 3.3
4183
#11
27.82.8
27.624.8
Auto2.6
Teleop22.9
End2.2
Third
3944
#12
18.30.4
19.218.9
Auto4.4
Teleop12.9
End1.0
red by 11.9
4565
#31
6.42.8
9.76.9
Auto1.7
Teleop2.0
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned50%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed44%Barge oddsMissed