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Red40
647927.4
970410.7
Blue96
635229.3
237541.6
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60930501504096

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+28
Endgame+38
Fouls+56
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave3
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points17
6Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +14
6Coral scored#9
22Coral points32
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#3
0Processor points0
8Net points12
8Algae points12
30Total teleop44
Reef
3L4#5
2L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +56
0Foul points18
40Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6479
#19
27.41.0
33.132.1
Auto4.2
Teleop21.2
End2.0
blue by 14.2
41.60.2
37.036.8
Auto11.1
Teleop29.4
End1.0
Second
9704
#15
10.71.0
11.110.0
Auto1.7
Teleop8.3
End0.7
blue by 18.6
6352
#10
29.30.2
34.134.0
Auto6.3
Teleop15.3
End7.7
Third
5.31.7
11.49.6
Auto1.7
Teleop1.9
End1.8
blue by 3.2
8.50.3
9.69.3
Auto1.3
Teleop4.8
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
23%Auto oddsMissed80%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed43%Barge oddsEarned