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Red38
905913.1
101110.6
99114.1
Blue18
1025612.6
26625.9
2486B10.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68480204060801001203818

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+10Teleop
+12Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave6
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +7
3Coral scored#1
11Coral points4
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
0Processor points0
4Net points4
4Algae points4
15Total teleop8
Reef
2L4#1
1L3#0
1L2#0
0L1 · trough#0
5Game pieces#2
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
8Foul points0
38Total score18

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
991
#32
14.11.7
19.618.0
Auto2.1
Teleop10.9
End1.1
red by 1.5
12.61.4
14.012.5
Auto3.0
Teleop7.5
End2.1
Second
9059
#28
13.11.7
18.216.6
Auto4.5
Teleop5.9
End2.8
red by 2.7
10.41.4
12.310.8
Auto3.4
Teleop5.4
End1.6
Third
1011
#13
10.61.7
11.09.3
Auto1.5
Teleop6.8
End2.2
red by 4.7
2662
#27
5.91.4
8.26.8
Auto2.0
Teleop3.6
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
17%Auto oddsMissed11%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed8%Barge oddsMissed