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Red131
418327.8
9059B11.0
240356.8
Blue50
414630.4
248631.8
38538.8
68%Model gave it32%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8981406010012013150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+59Teleop
+71Endgame
+81Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave3
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points9
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +55
19Coral scored#6
67Coral points22
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
81Total teleop26
Reef
6L4#3
8L3#2
5L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
25Game pieces#9
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +81
18Foul points8
131Total score50

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.82.0
50.952.8
Auto9.8
Teleop40.4
End6.7
red by 25.1
2486
#18
31.82.2
34.832.6
Auto10.3
Teleop18.7
End2.7
Second
4183
#11
27.82.0
24.826.8
Auto2.6
Teleop22.9
End2.2
blue by 2.7
4146
#16
30.42.2
31.128.9
Auto4.0
Teleop24.2
End2.2
Third
11.03.3
7.911.2
Auto4.1
Teleop5.7
End1.2
red by 2.3
3853
#21
8.82.2
9.57.3
Auto2.6
Teleop3.7
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsEarned67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsEarned25%Barge oddsMissed