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Red91
414630.4
26625.9
498C38.6
Blue27
38538.8
77559.2
970410.7
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7523040601001201401609127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+58Teleop
+64Endgame
+64Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave6
1Coral scored#0
4Coral points0
13Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +51
12Coral scored#3
42Coral points9
1Processor algae#0
4Net algae#1
6Processor points0
16Net points4
22Algae points4
64Total teleop13
Reef
5L4#1
3L3#1
2L2#0
3L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#4
BargeRed +6
14Cage & park8
14Total endgame8
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +64
0Foul points0
91Total score27

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.63.0
31.534.5
Auto3.2
Teleop32.1
End3.3
red by 27.9
9704
#15
10.70.0
10.210.3
Auto1.7
Teleop8.3
End0.7
Second
4146
#16
30.41.8
26.328.1
Auto4.0
Teleop24.2
End2.2
red by 21.2
7755
#26
9.20.0
8.98.9
Auto3.6
Teleop2.1
End3.5
Third
2662
#27
5.91.8
6.18.0
Auto2.0
Teleop3.6
End0.3
blue by 2.9
3853
#21
8.80.0
7.37.3
Auto2.6
Teleop3.7
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsMissed16%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsEarned14%Barge oddsMissed