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Red71
2486B10.4
90917.7
418327.8
Blue27
6987.2
647927.4
45656.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions505901001502002507127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+36Teleop
+38Endgame
+44Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave0
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points9
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +36
11Coral scored#3
38Coral points12
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
52Total teleop16
Reef
7L4#1
2L3#1
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#6
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +44
6Foul points0
71Total score27

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4183
#11
27.81.3
26.828.0
Auto2.6
Teleop22.9
End2.2
red by 0.4
6479
#19
27.41.7
31.129.4
Auto4.2
Teleop21.2
End2.0
Second
10.41.3
9.110.4
Auto3.4
Teleop5.4
End1.6
red by 3.3
698
#30
7.21.7
11.49.7
Auto2.8
Teleop4.1
End0.2
Third
9091
#29
7.71.3
7.08.2
Auto1.7
Teleop5.8
End0.2
red by 1.4
4565
#31
6.41.7
7.05.3
Auto1.7
Teleop2.0
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
16%Auto oddsMissed17%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
8%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsMissed