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Red30
498B24.4
6987.2
99114.1
Blue60
970410.7
414630.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions655702040801001203060

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+30
Endgame+36
Fouls+30
Autonomouslevel
0Leave0
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +30
3Coral scored#9
12Coral points34
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
6Processor points6
0Net points8
6Algae points14
18Total teleop48
Reef
1L4#4
1L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
5Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +6
0Cage & park6
0Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +30
6Foul points0
30Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.42.6
27.124.5
Auto4.4
Teleop19.4
End0.6
blue by 6.0
4146
#16
30.40.4
28.128.6
Auto4.0
Teleop24.2
End2.2
Second
991
#32
14.12.6
16.714.1
Auto2.1
Teleop10.9
End1.1
red by 3.4
9704
#15
10.70.4
10.310.7
Auto1.7
Teleop8.3
End0.7
Third
698
#30
7.22.6
9.77.2
Auto2.8
Teleop4.1
End0.2
blue by 0.3
7.50.4
7.07.5
Auto3.2
Teleop1.9
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
14%Auto oddsMissed33%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
9%Barge oddsMissed13%Barge oddsMissed