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Red33
647927.4
905913.1
26625.9
Blue35
991B8.8
9059B11.0
394418.3
59%Model gave it41%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions594301001502003335

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+8
Endgame+6
Fouls+2
Autonomouslevel
9Leave9
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +8
4Coral scored#4
14Coral points16
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#0
0Processor points6
0Net points0
0Algae points6
14Total teleop22
Reef
1L4#1
1L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
4Game pieces#5
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
6Foul points2
33Total score35

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6479
#19
27.42.1
29.427.4
Auto4.2
Teleop21.2
End2.0
red by 9.1
3944
#12
18.31.0
19.318.3
Auto4.4
Teleop12.9
End1.0
Second
9059
#28
13.12.1
15.213.1
Auto4.5
Teleop5.9
End2.8
red by 2.1
11.01.6
12.711.0
Auto4.1
Teleop5.7
End1.2
Third
2662
#27
5.92.1
8.05.9
Auto2.0
Teleop3.6
End0.3
blue by 2.9
991B
#22
8.81.0
9.88.8
Auto1.1
Teleop6.7
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
29%Auto oddsMissed36%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed12%Barge oddsMissed