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Red81
1050624.9
45656.4
247839.4
Blue109
101110.6
240356.8
38538.8
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6978020406010012014016081109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+2
Endgame+10
Fouls+28
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave9
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points4
6Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +5
14Coral scored#13
51Coral points46
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
69Total teleop64
Reef
4L4#6
4L3#3
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +28
0Foul points18
81Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.41.0
36.537.5
Auto6.3
Teleop31.0
End2.0
blue by 17.4
56.81.4
53.154.6
Auto9.8
Teleop40.4
End6.7
Second
24.91.0
23.924.9
Auto2.2
Teleop21.4
End1.3
red by 14.3
1011
#13
10.61.4
9.210.6
Auto1.5
Teleop6.8
End2.2
Third
4565
#31
6.41.0
5.36.4
Auto1.7
Teleop2.0
End2.6
blue by 2.4
3853
#21
8.81.4
7.38.8
Auto2.6
Teleop3.7
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsMissed64%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed50%Barge oddsEarned