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Red124
498C38.6
237541.6
99611.0
Blue32
90917.7
1025612.6
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1022805015012432

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+92Teleop
+92Endgame
+92Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave6
3Coral scored#0
13Coral points0
16Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +82
13Coral scored#5
48Coral points18
4Processor algae#0
8Net algae#1
24Processor points0
32Net points4
56Algae points4
104Total teleop22
Reef
8L4#2
3L3#1
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#0
28Game pieces#6
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +92
0Foul points0
124Total score32

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.62.4
37.439.7
Auto11.1
Teleop29.4
End1.0
red by 29.0
12.60.5
13.112.6
Auto3.0
Teleop7.5
End2.1
Second
38.64.0
34.538.4
Auto3.2
Teleop32.1
End3.3
red by 30.0
8.50.9
9.48.5
Auto1.3
Teleop4.8
End2.4
Third
996
#8
11.02.4
8.711.0
Auto3.0
Teleop6.1
End1.9
red by 3.3
9091
#29
7.70.5
8.27.7
Auto1.7
Teleop5.8
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned10%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
12%Coral oddsEarned2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed