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Red142
240356.8
116542.6
418327.8
Blue124
49858.7
248631.8
498C38.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1191400200300400500600142124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+10Teleop
+20Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave3
3Coral scored#3
14Coral points13
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +3
23Coral scored#20
83Coral points72
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
12Processor points12
8Net points16
20Algae points28
103Total teleop100
Reef
13L4#8
5L3#6
4L2#6
4L1 · trough#3
30Game pieces#29
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +18
0Foul points2
142Total score124

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.80.5
54.655.0
Auto9.8
Teleop40.4
End6.7
blue by 1.9
498
#5
58.70.1
58.658.5
Auto10.1
Teleop41.0
End7.6
Second
42.60.5
40.340.8
Auto9.9
Teleop32.2
End0.5
red by 4.0
38.60.2
38.438.2
Auto3.2
Teleop32.1
End3.3
Third
4183
#11
27.80.5
25.526.0
Auto2.6
Teleop22.9
End2.2
blue by 4.0
2486
#18
31.80.1
31.731.5
Auto10.3
Teleop18.7
End2.7